CNN and other media outlets are reporting that Iran has fired missiles at Israel. This is a huge escalatory attack. I know Iran usually relies on their proxy groups (like Hezbollah and Houthis) to attack Israel, but now the attack is coming directly from Iran. A new major war in the Middle East? I wonder if any of the two countries would resort to weapons of mass destruction.

In the days after a deadly Israeli strike on the Iranian embassy complex in Syria earlier this month, the only questions were how and when — not if — Iran would respond. Tehran delivered its answer on Saturday night with an unprecedented aerial attack launched directly from Iranian soil, escalating already boiling regional tensions to new levels.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) announced Saturday that they had fired dozens of drones and missiles toward Israel; an Israeli official put the number of drones at more than 100. As of early Sunday, it appeared that many of the projectiles were intercepted by the Israeli and US militaries.

The launch marked the first-ever attack launched at Israel from Iranian territory. The two countries are enemy states, but neither had ever launched a direct and overt attack on the other’s soil — though Israel’s April 1 strike on Iran’s consulate in Damascus took place on what is technically considered to be sovereign Iranian territory per diplomatic convention.
Source: CNN


Any thoughts welcomed! Will this lead to a war? Will the United States join? Should the US or Israel go to war?
 
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Here's a similar perspective...

"Iran’s attack seemed planned to minimize casualties while maximizing spectacle"​

...source: https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/14/middleeast/iran-israel-attack-drones-analysis-intl/index.html

“The style of attack is reminiscent of Tehran’s response to former President Donald Trump’s targeted killing of Iran’s most storied general, Qassem Soleimani, in January 2020. Tehran gave US troops 10 hours of advance warning before raining down massive ballistic missiles on US military positions in Iraq, including al-Asad airbase. The attack wreaked havoc, leaving gaping craters in the ground, but caused no known US casualties.”

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So, flashing the ace rather than playing the ace.
 
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Here are my responses in light of all of the information presented so far...

Will this lead to a war? Should the US or Israel go to war?
It can lead to a war. I would assume it would come about after a deliberate attack by either country. There's talks about Israel wanting to strike back, but I wonder if that will take the form of hitting targets in Iran or hitting Iranian assets that are stationed outside of Iran.

I also think there is a lot of ego flying around with perhaps both countries wanting to flex their military might perhaps in effort to show the other that they're not afraid and not messing around.

With all that said, I don't think Israel should declare war in a conventional sense by striking Iran back with missiles. I can't say that it would be right or wrong if they did. What if Iran is developing nukes? I think Israel would be in the right to do a preemptive strike since Iran has threatened to wipe out Israel.

Will the United States join?
Apparently not. President Biden's administration has said that they will not help Israel in an offensive way. So Israel is on their own if they choose to attack.